This week, the White House will be watching a key political test of its long-term battle against worldwide terrorism ”“ the election in Afghanistan.

It will be the first contested election in Afghanistan’s history, but many voters may be too disillusioned or frightened to go to the polls. A low turnout would be a setback to those who believe that a strong and democratic political system is essential to restore stability in the country.

In the remote villages of the country, residents may face a real risk by going to the polls. Members of the Taliban have been warning the people not to vote and residents have been told that those who dip their fingers in ink after voting risk having them cut off.

The election may also be compromised by fraud. One of the leading candidates, Abdullah Abdullah, a former foreign minister, has called on his followers to be alert to the possibility that the election may be “stolen,” raising the possibility of confrontations and violence after the election

Afghan President Hamid Karzai is favored to win re-election, but without enthusiastic support. Under his leadership, corruption has thrived, the Taliban has grown stronger, and government has remained ineffective. Karzai’s campaign has reached out to regional warlords and the president has promised to open discussions with the Taliban.

Polls show him leading his opponents, but short of the 50-percent support he needs to avoid a runoff election. With 7,000 polling centers across the rugged countryside, it is expected to be mid-September before all the ballots are collected and counted.

The United States and allies have raised troop levels to increase the odds of a successful election. It’s evidence of the continued weakness of the Afghan government and a sign that such support may be needed for years to come.

— Questions? Comments? Contact Kristen Schulze Muszynski or Nick Cowenhoven at 282-1535 or kristenm@journaltribune.com or nickc@journaltribune.com.